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Asian economies are likely to prioritize negotiation over retaliation in response to U.S. tariffs, with GDP forecasts expected to decline. India is reportedly advancing in negotiations, while the RBI may cut rates by 25 bps, influenced by a projected moderation in CPI inflation. Barclays anticipates further rate cuts, potentially settling at 5.5%.
The IT industry is projected to experience a revenue growth of 4-6% in FY26. However, hiring within the sector is expected to remain low, indicating a cautious approach to workforce expansion amidst the anticipated growth.
India is set to face a milder winter, raising concerns about its impact on crop yields and food inflation. Experts warn that warmer temperatures could disrupt agricultural cycles, particularly affecting wheat and other crops in Punjab and Haryana, potentially delaying the moderation of food prices. The India Meteorological Department has predicted above-normal minimum temperatures for the winter season, following a notably warm November.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) maintained the key policy rate at 6.5% amid persistent inflation above its comfort zone, while also reducing the cash reserve ratio by 50 basis points to stimulate economic activity. Economists noted that a potential repo rate cut could occur if inflation falls below 5% by December 2024.
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asian economies may prioritize negotiation over retaliation amid us tariffs
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